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- The "January 15th Test" to Avoid a Financial Hangover
The "January 15th Test" to Avoid a Financial Hangover
Avoid the Christmas shopping hangover with this simple test
Hey β itβs Lee from Refresh.me.
It's December 13th, and I need to ask you something uncomfortable: How much have you spent on the holidays so far? And more importantly, how do you think you'll feel about that number a month from now on January 15th?
I know, I know. It's the season of giving. It's about making memories. You can't put a price on family joy. But here's what I've learned after watching thousands of people go through this cycle: the magic of December 25th doesn't erase the misery of January 15th when those credit card bills arrive.
Nearly half of Americans go into debt for holiday spending. And it's not because they're irresponsible or don't care about their finances. It's because the holidays create a perfect storm of emotional spending triggers that override every rational money decision you'd normally make.
But here's the good news: you still have 10 days to course-correct. Today, I'm going to show you how to enjoy the rest of this season without the financial hangover that ruins the first quarter of next year.
In today's issue:
π The January 15th Test: How to Enjoy the Holidays Without the Financial Hangover
πΈ Budget Breakdown: The $7,691 Self-Employed Paycheck
π€― Interesting News: Gen-Z is crushing it with 401k balances
π Deep Dive: The "January 15th Test" to Avoid a Financial Hangover
Picture this: It's Christmas morning. The tree is lit, there are gifts everywhere, your family is smiling. You made the season magical. You did good.
Now picture this: It's January 15th. The decorations are packed away. The magic is gone. And you're staring at a credit card statement that makes your stomach drop. $3,200. Plus the $1,800 on the other card. Plus the $600 on the store card.
$5,600. π±
The gifts that seemed so important three weeks ago are already forgotten. But the debt? That's following you until April. Maybe longer.
This is the holiday spending trap, and millions of people are in it right now.
π Why Holiday Spending Is Uniquely Dangerous
Holiday spending isn't like regular spending. It's amplified by a perfect storm of psychological triggers:
Nostalgia (trying to recreate childhood magic), obligation (gifts for everyone from your boss to your mail carrier), comparison (keeping up with what others are spending), generosity (equating love with dollars spent), and time pressure (Christmas is coming whether you're ready or not).
Add these together, and you get people spending 2-3x what they can actually afford, justifying it with "it's just once a year" and "I'll figure it out in January."
But January always comes. And it's always worse than you thought. π³
π§ͺ The January 15th Test
Here's the framework that will save you thousands:
Before you buy anything for the rest of this holiday season, ask yourself:
"Will I regret this expense on January 15th when the credit card bill arrives and the holiday magic is gone?"
That's it. That's the whole test.
This question collapses the time gap between spending and consequence. It forces you to feel the future pain in the present moment. It makes the abstract (a credit card bill you'll get later) concrete (regret you can imagine right now).
π The Test in Action
The $75 Boss Gift π
The test: "Will I regret spending $75 on my boss's candle when I'm paying off credit cards in January?"
The decision: A $15 nice candle works just as well. Saved: $60 β
The "Perfect" $180 Toy π§Έ
The test: "Will I regret this when I'm stressed about money in January and she's already moved on?"
The decision: Find a $40 alternative she'll love just as much. Saved: $140 β
The $240 in Obligation Gifts π¦
The test: "Will I regret spending $240 on people I barely see when I'm trying to build my emergency fund?"
The decision: Send heartfelt cards instead. Saved: $240 β
The $85 Holiday Decor π
The test: "Will I regret spending $85 on decorations I'll pack away in two weeks?"
The decision: Use what you already have. Saved: $85 β
Total saved: $525 π°
Multiply that across all your holiday spending, and you're looking at $1,000-2,000 saved just by asking one question.
π‘οΈ Four Strategies to Survive the Next 10 Days
1. Do a Brutal Gift List Audit π
List everyone you're planning to buy for. Then ask:
Do they expect a gift from me?
Will our relationship suffer without one?
Am I buying this out of genuine care or obligation?
Cut ruthlessly. Most obligation gifts are mutual obligations both parties would be relieved to drop.
Action: Text people on your "maybe" list and suggest skipping gifts this year. Potential savings: $200-500 π΅
2. Use Cash Only π΅
Withdraw whatever you have left in your holiday budget in cash. When it's gone, you're done.
Cash makes spending visceral. Swiping a card is abstract. You'll naturally spend less and think harder about each purchase.
Action: Go to the ATM today. Leave your cards at home when you shop. Potential savings: $400-800 π΅
3. Have the Honest Conversation π¬
If you're feeling financial pressure, your family probably is too. Someone just needs to say it out loud.
Send a group text: "Hey, I'm trying to be more intentional with money. Can we do a Secret Santa with a $30 limit instead?"
You'll be shocked how relieved people are. Most families are trapped in an expensive gift arms race nobody actually wants.
Action: Send that text today. Potential savings: $500-1,500 π΅
4. Create Your January 15th Fund Now π¦
Add up what you've already spent on credit cards. Transfer that amount to a separate savings account labeled "January Bills." Treat it like it's already gone.
This makes the spending feel real immediately and removes the shock when bills arrive.
Action: Do this right now. Don't touch it until January 15th. Savings: Months of interest and stress π΅
β¨ What Actually Makes Holidays Meaningful
Here's what nobody tells you: the amount you spend has almost zero correlation with how meaningful the holidays are.
People's favorite holiday memories are about:
Time spent together π¨βπ©βπ§βπ¦
Traditions and rituals πͺ
Feeling seen and understood π
Laughter and connection β€οΈ
Absence of financial stress π
You know what ruins holidays? Financial stress. The tension of overspending. The guilt of debt. The arguments about money.
The best gift you can give your family isn't more stuff. It's financial peace. It's being present instead of stressed. It's starting 2025 without a financial hangover.
π The Bottom Line
It's December 15th. You still have time. You can still have a magical holiday season without destroying your January.
January 15th is coming. The credit card bills will arrive. The holiday magic will be gone. The only question is: will you regret what you spent, or will you be proud of the choices you made?
Before every purchase for the next 10 days, ask yourself:
"Will I regret this on January 15th?"
If the answer is yes or even maybe, don't buy it.
If the answer is no, and you genuinely believe you'll be glad you spent this money even when the bill comes, then buy it with full intention and zero guilt.
Run it through the test. Have the honest conversations. Use cash. Cut the obligation gifts. Focus on what actually matters.
Your January 15th self will thank you. π
What's one holiday expense you're going to cut after reading this? Reply and let me know! π¬

πΈ Budget Breakdown: The $7,691 Self-Employed Paycheck
This week's feature is Grace, a 27-year-old who said "screw the corporate ladder" and built her own empire as a full-time freelancer and content creator.
She's pulling in $7,691 per month after taxes. That's $92K a year working from the comfort of her own apartment with no boss.
But here's where she separates herself from amateur freelancers: she's not just making money, she's structuring it. Her business is an S-Corp, which means she's the CEO paying herself a strategic $4,691 salary, then taking a $3,000 owner distribution on top.
Translation? She's saving $5K-10K in taxes every single year while her W-2 friends get destroyed by Uncle Sam.
Here's how a financial boss like Grace allocates $7,691:
π§Ύ Bills/Needs: $4,102 (53% of income)
π Rent: $2,772... but wait. She gets a $350/month home office reimbursement from her own company, dropping her real cost to $2,422. That's $4,200 back in her pocket annually.
β‘οΈ Utilities: $280
π Groceries + Household: $450 (she's tightening this up after letting it slide all year β even bosses have weak spots)
β½οΈ Gas: $90
π Therapy: $160 (investing in mental health like a pro)
ποΈββοΈ Gym: $69
π©Ί Medical: $275
π€ Oura Ring: $6.36 (optimizing her sleep data)
β¨ Wants: $1,489 (19% of income)
π± Dining: $400
π₯³ Entertainment: $100
ποΈ Shopping: $400
π§ββοΈ Self Care: $120
π Subscriptions: $69
π Giving: $100 (generosity is part of the plan)
π Gifts: $300 (plus she's got a $1,334 "Fun Money" sinking fund locked and loaded for Christmas)
π° Savings: $2,109 (27% of income)
π‘ House Down Payment: $1,359
π Car Down Payment: $750
And here's the power move most people miss: all her retirement investing happens pre-tax through her S-Corp. By the time this $7,691 hits her account, her future is already funded. She's building wealth on autopilot.
My Thoughts...
This is a masterclass in self-employed financial architecture.
While most freelancers are Venmo-ing themselves random amounts and panicking at tax time, she's running a legitimate business structure that pays her strategically, reimburses her expenses, and shelters her retirement contributions.
She's 27 and saving over $25,000 per year for major purchases, after maxing out tax-advantaged retirement accounts. She's on track to buy a house with cash down, upgrade her car without financing, and hit "financially independent" status before most people finish paying off their student loans.
The grocery overspending? That's not a weakness, that's self-awareness. She knows where the leak is and she's plugging it. That's what winners do.
By 30, she'll own property. By 35, she'll have "work because I want to, not because I have to" money. And she's doing it all without a boss, a commute, or pants with buttons.
The real question: Why are you still trading time for money when you could be building this?
What's the most boss move in this budget? |

π Quick Links
π Fed cuts rates again but warns inflation isn't dead yet β The Fed dropped rates by 25 basis points at its final 2025 meeting, but officials are split on what comes next. Translation: your high-yield savings account is about to pay less.
πͺ Gen Z just crushed everyone in 401(k) growth β Gen Z saw their retirement balances jump 14% in 2025, the biggest gain of any generation. Turns out the "broke" generation is quietly building wealth while everyone's busy making fun of them.
π Digital cash is the new holiday gift for Gen Z and Millennials β 32% of Gen Z and 28% of Millennials prefer digital payments and app transfers over physical gifts. Grandma's check is officially obsolete.
P.S. β Are you on X? If so, follow me on X/Twitter to catch my daily thoughts on personal finance and engage directly with me.
What'd you think of this issue? |
